XRP Charts Hint at a 25% Relief Rally by July

Multiple XRP indicators point to a potential 25% relief rally in the coming weeks. XRP’s 20-week exponential moving average near $1.40 was on the verge of crossing below its 200-week EMA near $1.39, a move that would mark a rare death cross. Historically, similar 20-week/200-week EMA crosses preceded rebounds — roughly 20% in 2019 and about 82.7% in 2022 — and a mean-reversion toward $1.39–$1.40 would imply roughly 23%–25% upside by July from the current price near $1.13.

The weekly relative strength index was hovering just above the oversold threshold of 30, a level that typically suggests sellers may be losing momentum and raises the odds of a short-term rebound even if the broader trend stays weak. A separate 10-day RSI reading near the low-30s also appears consistent with past accumulation phases.

Liquidation heatmap data for Binance XRP/USDT shows more short liquidation liquidity above the spot price than long liquidity below it.

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